Betting predictions systems

Many punters try to avoid making subjective predictions and replace them with objective ones. There are several reasons for doing that. On one hand, not everyone is capable to achieve the necessary success rate in order to make some profit from his bets. On the other hand, even the best bettors get tired at some point and then their success rate drops. This can’t happen in systems for objectively making predictions. They won’t feel fatigue because it’s all about numbers. They are designed to be permanent and to offer a stable success rate.

Of course, things are not so bright in the real world and it is very rare for someone to create a winning system for making predictions and even rarer is to share it with the other players. The main problem is that the football game is too unpredictable and difficult to define only in numbers.

However, the most popular system for making predictions is called ELO system.sports betting It is borrowed from the chess ELO coefficient used to determine the strength of individual players. The application in predicting football matches is almost the same.

How does this system work? At the beginning of each championship all teams start with zero points. After the first round each of the teams are given points depending on whether they won or lost their matches. The interesting part starts when you give the points for the second round. Then the points earned from the first round are considered for the earning of new points after a win or loss in the second round. For example if a team that has lost its first match faces a team which won its first game and wins, this team will get more points compared if they have played with a team which has lost its first match.

Thus giving a much more realistic rating compared with the current standing of both teams as they take into account against which team you played. Through this ELO ranking is shown the real difference between the teams, which in turn helps for better predictions.

However a matter of choice for every punter is where he or she will put the deciding barrier to bet or not to on a specific match. This, let’s call it a rate, is adjusted regularly until the end does not fit entirely to the bettor’s wish.

A simple, but profitable betting technique

In the next few lines I will present you a very simple technique which will help you for more profitable betting. What is it? You need an excel file and some work at the beginning. And then everything will go smoothly and you will earn more and lose less.

Usually in almost every match the punter can find some value where to bet. The trick is to find it. We search for value in the difference between the real possibilities for something to happen and the possibilities bettingin the form of odds given by the bookmakers.

To find all of these bets, the only thing we need is a systematic way for searching and disciplined play. There is no easier way to do this than an excel file where to put all kinds of bets we usually play and systematically to check them for each game.

For example, in my file I put the data for how many times in the recent games have been over or under, how many matches finished with more goals in the first or the second half, in how many matches the corners are above or below the border set by the bookmaker and so on.

The options you can check in betting in this way are virtually limitless. Everything depends on you.
The idea of the whole exercise is not to miss a possible bet. Something that happens quite often if you haven’t got a systematic approach for a verification of individual bets. If you try this systematic approach you will win more and by that you will improve your performance.

A few quick tips before the end of this post.

Make the necessary calculations in your excel file, so it should show you where the ROI is above the line for the victory which you have defined for a single bet. Also to each column of statistical information that you are going to check, place a note in which to describe in which site you can easily find the information you need. You should do everything so that you will be able to get the needed information in the most comfortable way.

Do this for a few matches and you will accept this way for researching for your everyday betting.

If you are not familiar with betting sheets on excel, here is a video tuturial about this topic.

Fulham vs Norwich

Fulham and Norwich will play against each other in the first round of the English Premier League in a match, which will be important for both teams. Fulham enjoyed their traditional solid performance last year, finishing ninth with equal points with Liverpool. Norwich surprised everyone with finishing with cool 11 points above the relegation zone and thus tackling with the complex of the newcomers in the Premier League who drop out in their first season.
Norwich showed a stable and efficient game scoring 52 goals last season, more than clubs such as Liverpool, Everton and their today’s opponent Fulham. Of course, nothing was so bright and wonderful for the canaries and they conceded 66 goals, which gave them the last place among all escaped relegation teams last season. A fact which should not be left unaccounted for in your prediction.

A quick glance at the changes in the odds given by thebetting on fulham norwich different betting houses shows that in this game preferences go with the hosts. The odds fell from 1.9 in the beginning to 1.8 at the moment in most bookmakers’ lists.
My preferences are also for an advantage of Fulham. The club maintained its major player, the star of the last season, Clint Dempsey, who was wanted by Liverpool and Arsenal. All the necessary players were added to strengthen the lines in the team. Martin Jol is a coach who has long experience in the league and knows well what to do to win a match like this one.

What can we say about Norwich in this match? As usual, they will try to gain something from the match with an inspired play and fight for every ball. Grant Holt is a great striker who scored a huge amount of goals last season, but it will be difficult for Norwich to rely solely on him if they want to stay in the Premier League another season.
Victory for Fulham at home with odds of 1.8. This is my prediction for the match, but whether it is right we will find on Saturday night.